National debt can rest easy

GOP 'pledge' would compound problem

If Republicans are serious about governing responsibly, they have an odd way of showing it. And for politicians who purport to hate the deficit - odder still.

The House Republicans' "Pledge to America," unveiled with fanfare this week at a Sterling, Va., hardware store, mixes irresponsible tax cuts with implausible spending caps and unspecified actions to control entitlement spending. The resulting concoction is a profile in cowardice.

"Our debt is now on track to exceed the size of our economy in the next two years," their document notes. "The lack of a credible plan to pay this debt back causes anxiety among consumers and uncertainty for investors and employers."

Good points. Sadly, the "Pledge" contains no credible plan to reduce this debt.

On the contrary, it would increase the debt by $4 trillion - yes, trillion - by extending all the expiring Bush tax cuts and adding new ones, including a poorly conceived deduction for small businesses. Talk about picking winners and losers; the tax code is already laden with special benefits for small business. This latest deduction would cost $50 billion over two years.

The Republican plan promises dramatic spending cuts. It would roll back non-security discretionary spending to 2008 levels and cap future growth. But it shirks the politically sensitive task of explaining where the savings would come from. It tosses out a few, relatively small-dollar ideas - "cutting Congress's budget" and "imposing a net hiring freeze on non-security federal employees," saving $35 billion over 10 years - and then resorts to the old waste, fraud and abuse dodge.

Minority Leader John Boehner crowed that the rollback would save $100 billion in the first year alone. Yes, but from where? Anyone can make that promise; tell us which NASA programs you will end, which national parks you will close.

The proposal would require cuts of more than 20 percent in discretionary funding, the deepest in recent history. Leave aside the upside-down claim that cutting spending by this amount in the midst of an economic downturn would help create jobs. What, exactly, do Republicans propose to cut?

The biggest dodge of all involves entitlement spending. The Republicans would repeal the Obama health-care plan, a plan that at least holds out the prospect of slowing the growth of health-care spending in general and Medicare in particular. An earlier proposal by Republican Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin at least had the honesty to outline major, if unwise, changes in Medicare; he would turn it into a voucher program.

By contrast, the "Pledge" vows grandly to "make the decisions that are necessary to protect our entitlement programs for today's seniors and future generations. That means requiring a full accounting of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, setting benchmarks for these programs and reviewing them regularly, and preventing the expansion of unfunded liabilities."

Asked about this big fat asterisk, Boehner promised "an adult conversation." When? What was this, the children's hour?

Democrats haven't been any clearer about dealing with entitlement spending - the party's hands-off Social Security caucus is growing ever louder - and their position on extending tax cuts looks good only in comparison to Republicans' greater irresponsibility. But if this is the Republican case for taking control, the national debt can rest easy.

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Here is an idea: Put a new line in the payment section of the tax returns that give people and businesses the option to make patriotic donations to the Treasury, specifically to go towards debt reduction. The government could launch a TV ad campaign to make people aware of this option, and to also raise awareness of the escallating debt problem. The ad could also include instructions about how to include a patriotic US debt reduction provision in a persons will. Wealthy billionaire celebrities, like Warren Buffet, and CEOs with $billions of excess cash on their books, could appear in the ad to make debt reduction pledges. Corporations could advertise the % debt reduction component in the price of their products. This could also be a way for those individuals who have not served in the military to make a substantial sacrifice for their country.

Our entire economy has been propped up for decades by debt increases, while corporate balance sheets have expanded accordingly, along with private wealth expansion far beyond the wildest American dreams of our founding fathers. China is now starting to balk at purchasing more US debt.

This idea might be one step toward lowering the debt to a more reasonable level.

earthling's picture

....speak. Or, the equivalent to "workers of the world unite".

All men are created equal George Bruce, but not all outcomes are equal.

Let's take two people. One studies in high school, has parents who work closely with him/her and gets good grades and goes to college.

Another student does not imply him/herself, the parents don't encourage or raise the child and they party through high school and do not get good grades and go to college.

Upon graduation one goes to college and one starts to work in a factory. In four years one graduates from college and is hired by a stock brokerage at $125,000 per year the other is still working at the factory for $35,000 per year.

Jump ahead 20 years and now the stock broker is making $300,000 and the factory worker just broke $50,000.

Now the factory worker, a Democrat is angry about his/her lot in life and feels as if there is no social equity, no economic fairness,

Take another example of someone who parties and spends their money on cruises and tropical vacations and squanders their earnings, over extending their credit situation, smoking, drinking and living large. At 50 years old they are tapped out and have no investments.

Another person lives a more structured and planned life and saves money, invests & turns their earnings into 3X their investment.

Now the first person is envious of the choice which the other person made because they have created wealth,

UNLESS a person is limited by ability due to unforeseeable circumstances (mental or physical challenges), the CHOICES we make determine our destiny, financial standing, success and overall outcome in life 99% of the time.

What G. Bruce and others want to do is legislate outcome.......tell someone who has the ambition and makes the free choice to make the sky the limit and live the American Dream that they make too much, need to share it, are greedy, selfish and basically demotivate the movers and shakers who make this economy work!

millennia's picture

The small businessman who has spent the last 15 years building a business by working 80 hours a week with no vacations, and now is finally reaping the rewards for his years of sacrifice. Or is the 20-something living in a rent subsidized apartment, who works when he has to, but is quite content to sit on a couch all day playing video games and drinking beer while waiting for the next "guvmint" check to arrive.
Now which one do you think is more capable of providing jobs, paying (some) taxes, and generally contributing to the nation?
Yeah liberals, let's hit the business owner with even more taxes so we can redistribute his unfairly acheived wealth to lazy ignorant slobs. That will encourage him to work even harder.
The Democratic party is playing you sheep like a fiddle.

J D Grayman's picture

.....I guess I have to be a bit more careful not to "offend" anyone's sensibilities. You are ABSOLUTELY correct in this post and the resident SOCIALISTS are just playing their usual games. Be careful, you will be moderated as the progressives get more and more worried about what is about to happen in 35 days. Be careful and stay out of the "moderation" mode.......

Your points are valid, however!

millennia's picture

I was not responsible for the removal of your post. In fact, I never got to see it. I'm sure I would have gotten a chuckle out of it, though.

Bruce_Currie's picture

....just re-read many of yours.

millennia's picture

Your narrative brings tears to my eyes--from laughing. It's right out of a civics text book, circa 1955. You don't get it--your touching descriptions work when the playing field is level. But the playing field has been increasingly tilted during the last 35 years. Ros Perot's "giant sucking sound" was really the sound of wealth being vacuumed /redistributed to the top by a tax structure rigged to benefit the very top. The evidence is clear from the data--the nation has not benefited from this redistribution upward.

Doing away with the estate tax--despite its long history of support going back to the founding fathers, for instance. Estate taxes were one difference between the old world and the new, and were an effort to avoid creating a landed gentry of the kind that was seen to stifle progress in Europe. "Fixing" income taxes to reduce their progressivity is another example, more so because it was done at the same time payroll taxes assumed a larger burden of the overall tax structure--the two are nearly equal in terms of % of GDP. You should be tired of repeatedly posting this same lame apology for greed and stupidity, because, quite simply, that's what it is. The Wall St. types recorded on 'This American Life"perfectly illustrate both qualities.

Bruce_Currie's picture

shakers who make this economy work!" as heard on the recent "This American Life" episode entitled "Crybabies".
http://www.thisamericanlife.org/

Bruce_Currie's picture

......propaganda supported show. Listened to by about 2,000,000 uber progressives.

NPR-Funded in part by 300,000,000 taxpayers and allowed to report slanted and biased news pieces and announcers perfectly enunciating every syllable in metrosexual fashion or practically whispering the news....

Irrelevant. George, get out of NH and see the real world. Not the cloistered laboratory of dreamscape Socialism regurgitated by amateur announcers who are barely listenable.

Phooey!

millennia's picture

Democrats or Republicans? The research says Democrats. From a Slate slide show on "The Great Divergence", about the increasing growth of inequality in the nation since the late 1970s.
http://www.slate.com/id/2266174/slideshow/2266174/fs/0//entry/2266218/

"In all income categories except the 95th percentile, income growth rates under Democratic presidents exceeded income growth rates under Republican ones. That suggests greater income equality can coexist with (or even help create) greater prosperity.

2) The 95th percentile fared about the same under Democrats and Republicans. (This chart shows it doing slightly better under Democrats, but the margin of error erases the Democrats' advantage.) Bartels' party-based interpretation of income inequality can't address the Great Divergence, Part 2—the stratospheric rise in incomes at the very top—because for this group, it doesn't matter much whether a Democrat or a Republican inhabits the White House. Political scientists Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson, of Yale and Berkeley, respectively, argue that the apparently nonpartisan solicitude Democrats and Republicans express toward the rich is the result of a massive increase in Washington's corporate lobbying sector since the 1970s—and that the growing power of big business in Washington has been a major contributor to the Great Divergence."

Bruce_Currie's picture

Brucie...do you read anything but left wing crap

sailmaker's picture

While neither party is grappling seriously with deficits, the Republican plan is the more seriously out of whack with reality, as this report from the Tax Policy Center makes plain. Deficits still don't matter to Republicans, getting elected does.
http://taxvox.taxpolicycenter.org/
http://www.tax.com/taxcom/taxblog.nsf/Permalink/CHAS-89LPZ9?OpenDocument

Bruce_Currie's picture

Ya got to love it when the liberals routinely cite left-of-center think tanks as "non-partisan" entities when they try to produce evidence against conservative policies.

The Tax Policy Center is an offshoot of the extreme left-leaning Brookings Institution and the Urban Institute. Their conclusions are routinely shredded by the educated class of America

For the liberal to some how portray the House GOP’s Pledge to America as a budget blueprint......... when it is nothing more than a policy statement........... is either ignorance or insincere........or both...........typical for liberals

Of course the democrats would not know what a budget blueprint is - they didn't even hold budget hearings this year much less pass any budget appropriations

sailmaker's picture

as is jhobserve, for a substantive response to my postings, and his. sailmaker? millenia? anyone?

Bruce_Currie's picture

Can you explain to me how the pledge improves the long term fiscal outlook? Please--try it without calling me ignorant or insincere.

jhobserve's picture

facts, just smear the source. Your "sources"-such as they are, are models of accuracy, fairness, and bipartisanship. One stands in awe.

Bruce_Currie's picture

substantive. Just because he did not practice the Currie method of twisting complex statistics to meet a partisan and ideological agenda, does not mean that his opinion is not valid.

millennia's picture

Go ahead Brucie ...why don't you tell us all about the stellar economic careers of the author of the source you quote.........this should be entertaining......we all could use a laugh........Howard Gleckman specializes in long-term care issues...not what you would call a deficit expert

After that....... why don't you tell us how you extrapolate the deficit figures from a "political position paper".........you must be psychic man..........most people would not put their reputation on the line projecting the future deficit even if they had the "actual budget" in hand

Of course that would be impossible as the democrats failed to even pass a budget this year

or ........just perhaps you cite a ton of crap to sound like you have an intelligent point

You obviously missed the SUBSTANCE of the previous post so I put it in layman's terms for ya

sailmaker's picture

elements; essential b) having direct bearing on a matter." I put the definition of "substantive" up because the meaning of the word seems to have escaped your grasp. As per usual, the dynamic duo resort to name-calling and smears when unable or unwilling to respond to facts and figures that run contrary to their hermetically tidy world-wiew.

Bruce_Currie's picture

typical liberal - using worthless blog sources and cant back them up...so he resorts to some blather to change the subject

sailmaker's picture

to the data on income inequality and taxes.

Bruce_Currie's picture

This comes from the Washington Post, so if the Republicans supported the takeover of all health care and funding of abortions, those principled (wink, wink) journalists at the Washington post would find something to whine about.

Practicing the progressive principle of "if you say something enough, people will start to believe it", they write: "On the contrary, it would increase the debt by $4 trillion - yes, trillion - by extending all the expiring Bush tax cuts and adding new ones, including a poorly conceived deduction for small businesses. "

What part of cutting spending at the same time that you cut taxes do the progressive dolts in this country not understand.

If small businesses are able to start hiring again, the pool of those paying into the government (versus being dependents on unemployment) will pay taxes and increase revenue. Low unemployment translates into more taxpayers and hence.....more revenue.

Then comes the red herring argument and one which progressives always ask so that they can start with their goosestep march against any cuts to any programs. The Washington Post writes:

"Minority Leader John Boehner crowed that the rollback would save $100 billion in the first year alone. Yes, but from where? Anyone can make that promise; tell us which NASA programs you will end, which national parks you will close. "

OH MY GOD.....we NEED to know specifically which areas he would cut so that progressives can come up with the "can't do that", "but it's for the children", "social justice", "social equity" arguments. Precisely why they probably have a darned good idea what needs to be cut and are laying in wait to call Repubicans "cold hearted" or "mean spirited".

And that call for a "hiring freeze" is just terrible according to the Washington Post. DUH! We certainly don't need more single tasking bureaucrats running around Washington on the public dole, accomplishing minimal tasks and spending us into oblivion.

millennia's picture

"What part of cutting spending at the same time that you cut taxes do the progressive dolts in this country not understand."

There is no proposal to eliminate the deficit and reduce the federal debt by cutting spending without raising taxes. The people telling you this is possible are crackpots or liars. Does that not bother you?

jhobserve's picture

"Omaha Beacon"?

Bruce_Currie's picture

What does this have to do with the Global Warming Hoax and agenda?

This is far more mainstream and clear.

millennia's picture

Democrats have been in charge for FOUR YEARS......... Democrats economic policy is a train wreck in progress....and even the less astute in the American citizenry know it....Nov 2nd cant come quick enough

To talk about tax cuts in the same discussion with government spending reveals how democrats believe all of the nation's wealth belongs to the government......to then be released back to the private sector as government sees fit.

The big-government reach of Democrats is what is killing the economy.....With major uncertainties affecting health care costs......looming environmental regulations.......new uncertain financial regulations ......the largest tax increase in history coming 1/1/11......no federal budget even debated - much less passed.......etc etc etc

For any democrat liberal progressive whatever to come to this forum and tout the economic policies of the left .......should be an insult to the common sense of all Americans

sailmaker's picture

and you are correct.....train wreck in "progress".....key word "progress"

millennia's picture

Bruce, unfortunately you're dead wrong and the numbers show it quite clearly.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/budget/fy2011/assets/h...

Above are annual revenues, please pay attention to column J and the sharp rise in actual revenues to the federal government following the 2003 tax CUTS....you really can't argue with a 25% increase in receipts by 2008.

The PROBLEM was not an increase in Revenue but rather the corresponding increase in SPENDING that was allowed to happen....just like Concord, our Federal Government has a SPENDING problem not a REVENUE problem.

When people keep more of their labor (money) we all win.

NYB's picture

First of all, column J is total revenue, which includes Social Security tax receipts. Social Security taxes have not gone down and in fact are inching closer to becoming the same percent of GDP as income taxes--one more sign of the loss of progressivity / fairness in our overall tax structure. Income tax revenue actually dropped throughout the entire Bush era when adjusted for inflation and compared to 2000 income tax revenue. And this is despite the fact the number of taxpayers grew by 10% over the same period, and GDP also grew. But job growth was one-seventh that of the Clinton years. Wages and average income both fell during the Bush years.

In fairness, the Bush tax cuts weren't all designed to be "supply-side"cuts, (they were designed to get rid of the surplus), but the evidence is clear that income tax revenues did not increase as a result of the Bush tax cuts

Bruce_Currie's picture

...now, as compared to other years and decades.

Being an average income earner, I have experienced economies throughout my whole life which have been good and been bad.

All of the statistics in the world mean nothing if the population, as a whole feels as if things are harder for them and it is obvious that statistics are not as important as the state of mind of those who work, pay taxes, collect unemployment and live & die each day. After all, statistics are figures and although figures don't lie.....liars sure do figure!

We will never have economic equity unless we become a totalitarian country & it is mandated. I know some progressives would like that but I also have lived a long time and know some other things for sure.

If there has been economic unfairness (the poor) throughout our history, it was in the minority over the last few decades, but now, EVERYONE is feeling the pinch.

When Jimmy Carter was president, college grads could not find jobs, there were gas lines & we were told that this was the end of prosperity for this country and life would never be the same.

Ronald Reagan instilled confidence back into the American people and cutting taxes did bring in more revenue and pulled us out of the abyss.

Clinton's surplus was a flim flam shell game adding social security receipts into the revenue stream and hiding the deficit.

Bush's problem was that he was not a true conservative and he cut taxes but did not reduce spending.

Obama, again, believes that life will never be the same, he loathes our leadership role as a super power in the world and he has, on several occasions, told the world that we are on the decline, never to return to economic prosperity (in so many words).

I felt economically secure for 7 years under Bush, 7 years under Reagan, 3 years under Bush 1, 7 years under Nixon and Ford, 8 years under Clinton and 0 years under Obama and I have no confidence that I will feel financially secure for the next 2 years.

millennia's picture

sums up pretty well the Republican plans for the election. Cater to the Tea Party and the Republicans' own jingoistic base and ride the waves of ignorance and unreason back into Congress.

Bruce_Currie's picture

Figures don't lie but partisan liars sure do figure.

Those years statistics may have said one thing but the quality of life and the economics of families said something else.

I will go with that. "Jingoistic"....more liberal rhetorically overused buzzwords as expected from George.

millennia's picture

One more thing Bruce, Government needs to get out of the way and quit the attempts at central economic planning....every time they meddle we all lose.

Gov has an important job to do but that job is limited to the enumerated powers in the US Constitution and they are primarily focused upon external/internation issues and resolving issues between the states.

These attempts to pick winners and losers in our economy has lead to disaster every time....Gov needs to get out of the way and let Consumers decide which companies are going to be winners and which are losers.....we MUST stop allowing Government to continue to engage in Crony Capitolism by allowing bad business models to limp along with bailouts.

The current administration is unfortunately starting to make Carter look good and thats a frightening prospect....most of you don't recall Stagflation or his bungling of the Iran Hostage Crisis where American Citizens were held hostage for over 400 days.

NYB's picture

From the Center on Budget and Public Policy:
"Despite persistent claims to the contrary, revenue growth over the current business cycle actually has been negative, after adjusting for inflation and population growth. Specifically, per capita revenues were lower in real terms in 2006 than in 2001, when the last recovery ended and the current business cycle started. While revenues have grown since 2004, this growth has not yet fully compensated for the fall in revenues that occurred in 2001, 2002, and 2003. Indeed, the overall lack of revenue growth over the current business cycle is almost unprecedented for economic recoveries since the end of World War II. It stands in stark contrast to claims that the President’s tax cuts have boosted economic and revenue growth to remarkable levels."
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=723

It's still an article of faith among some that tax cuts always provide a stimulus to the economy, one that exceeds the revenue losses from the tax cuts. But there is ample evidence to the contrary, for as the figures above make clear, supply-side economics didn't work during the Bush years. And while the economy did grow, that growth was fueled by debt-driven consumer spending. Cutting taxes for the sake of cutting taxes seems at some point to reach a level of diminishing returns, if the Bush years are an accurate guide. Now tax cuts need to be targeted to investment and long-term growth, which appears to be what the current administration is starting to do. And if anyone is serious about reducing the deficit, the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy should die a natural death, and go gently into that good night.

Bruce_Currie's picture

Unfortunately the author completely and utterly fails to take into account the demonstrated fact that every time we've cut taxes the economy has picked up and government revenue has increased as a result of increased economic activity.

In fact when the much maligned "Bush Tax Cuts" we implemented the result was the highest levels of revenue the US Gov had EVER seen.....as in Record High Revenue.

If you want to pay down debt it only makes sense to do what you can to stimulate the economy AND increase revenue to the Gov.

But like they say...."You can't fix stupid".

NYB's picture
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