Clinton, Christie, Paul lead the pack in N.H. in early 2016 presidential poll
About 2½ years out from New Hampshire’s 2016 first-in-the-nation presidential primary, Hillary Clinton is the strong favorite among Democrats while Chris Christie and Rand Paul lead a crowded field of potential Republican candidates.
That’s according to a poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, taken July 18-29 and released this week. The poll surveyed 200 likely GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of 6.9 percent, and 190 likely Democratic primary voters with a 7.1 percent margin of error.
Clinton, the former U.S. senator who won the 2008 New Hampshire primary and later served as secretary of state under President Obama, would get 62 percent of the Democratic vote if
the primary were held this summer.
Trailing behind her are Vice President Joe Biden with 8 percent; Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick with 5 percent; Newark, N.J., Mayor Cory Booker with 2 percent; and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo with 1 percent.
Some 19 percent said they’re undecided, and just 7 percent of likely Democratic voters said they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for.
The field is even more fluid on the GOP side, where just 2 percent of likely primary voters said they’ve settled on a candidate.
Christie, the governor of New Jersey, leads the field with 21 percent, followed by Paul, a U.S. senator from
Kentucky, with 16 percent. Former Florida governor Jeb Bush is in third place with 10 percent, followed by Wisconsin congressman and 2012 Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan with
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio ranked fifth with 6 percent and three candidates – Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum and Texas Gov. Rick Perry – scored 4 percent each, followed by Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker with 2 percent. A fifth of likely primary voters, 20 percent, described themselves as undecided.
None of the candidates has actually announced they’ll run for president in 2016, though several of them have made stops in New Hampshire over the last year or so. Biden will headline an Aug. 22 fundraiser in Maine for New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan, and Cruz will be in the Granite State Aug. 23 for a New Hampshire Republican Party fundraiser.
(Ben Leubsdorf can be reached at 369-3307 or
email@example.com or on Twitter @BenLeubsdorf.)