Latest polls show tight races ahead for Kuster and Shea-Porter
The enthusiasm gap between likely Republican and Democratic voters has narrowed as the Sept. 9 primary inches closer and polling shows tight races for the state’s incumbent politicians, according to the UNH Polling Center.
Republicans are still more likely to be extremely or very interested in the election compared with Democrats, by a margin of 61 percent to 55 percent. But in July, more than 70 percent of Republicans were extremely or very interested in the election, compared with only 49 percent of Democrats.
If the election were held now, incumbent U.S. Rep. Annie Kuster would best any of the three main Republicans vying to challenge her – but by slim margins, according to the poll.
Kuster beat state Rep. Marilinda Garcia 39 percent to 36 percent with 25 percent of voters undecided. She beat former state senator Gary Lambert 41 percent to 35 percent with 24 percent undecided. And she beat former state representative Jim Lawrence 40 percent to 32 percent with 26 percent undecided.
In the 1st District, former U.S. representative Frank Guinta would fare better against incumbent Rep. Carol Shea-Porter than his primary opponent, businessman Dan Innis.
The latest poll shows Guinta with support from 45 percent of voters against Shea-Porter’s 41 percent, and 14 percent undecided. Against Innis, Shea-Porter captured 44 percent of the vote, while Innis had support from 37 percent, and 18 percent were undecided.
The center interviewed 827 New Hampshire residents via landline and cellular telephones over 10 days earlier this month. Half of the people surveyed are undeclared voters; 24 percent were registered Democrats and 26 percent were registered Republicans.
(Sarah Palermo can be reached at 369-3322 or firstname.lastname@example.org or on Twitter @SPalermoNews.)