Shaheen losing ground against Brown in latest UNH polling data
Fewer than a third of likely voters have decided which candidate they support in New Hampshire’s race for the U.S. Senate.
Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen still leads against all three of the major Republicans vying for their party’s nomination in the latest data from the UNH Survey Center. But former U.S. senator Scott Brown has almost closed what was once a wide statistical gap.
Brown faces a primary Sept. 9 against candidates including former U.S. senator Bob Smith and former state senator Jim Rubens.
If the election were held today and Shaheen and Brown were the candidates, 46 percent of likely voters would vote for Shaheen and 44 percent would vote for Brown. Fewer than 10 percent are undecided between the two.
In July, Shaheen had support from 50 percent of people polled while Brown received support from only 38 percent.
Against Brown, Shaheen’s campaign “is being weighed down by national politics, particularly the declining popularity of President Obama,” the polling center reported.
Shaheen still maintains comfortable leads over Smith and Rubens.
If Smith were the Republican nominee, 50 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Shaheen, 36 percent would vote for Smith, 2 percent would support someone else and 13 percent would be undecided.
If Rubens were the Republican nominee, 49 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Shaheen, 35 percent would vote for Rubens, 1 percent would support someone else and 15 percent would be undecided.
The center interviewed 827 New Hampshire residents via landline and cell phones over 10 days earlier this month. Half of the people surveyed are undeclared voters; 24 percent were registered Democrats and 26 percent were registered Republicans.
(Sarah Palermo can be reached at 369-3322 or firstname.lastname@example.org or on Twitter @SPalermoNews.)